Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 11.006235 12.885113 14.940185 17.348526 20.086860 23.096755 26.648531
2025-07-13 8.372319 11.049064 14.280760 18.437431 23.606181 29.783572 37.682585
2025-07-20 6.798117 9.862298 13.857232 19.371675 26.698623 36.002133 48.595177
2025-07-27 5.621083 8.844587 13.329809 19.894962 29.101735 41.372766 58.744410
2025-08-03 4.654749 7.886334 12.654068 20.004501 30.808550 45.820026 67.894260
2025-08-10 3.798969 6.908366 11.757288 19.603214 31.644078 49.016701 75.448064
2025-08-17 3.110552 6.054893 10.895112 19.090256 32.179318 51.726543 82.397678
2025-08-24 2.550607 5.305982 10.072309 18.498555 32.471717 54.019257 88.803843
2025-08-31 2.060474 4.583732 9.176437 17.648850 32.221783 55.399441 93.845501
2025-09-07 1.834520 4.318081 9.034381 18.045106 34.012323 60.048560 104.185551
2025-09-14 1.632002 4.059905 8.864402 18.357941 35.664105 64.555537 114.541490
2025-09-21 1.390101 3.670580 8.386234 18.041459 36.171653 67.186789 121.986751
2025-09-28 1.123439 3.188339 7.688974 17.299488 35.982032 68.859591 128.372823
2025-10-05 1.047101 3.141536 7.893453 18.367031 39.260487 76.806865 145.990705
2025-10-12 0.966108 3.065268 8.022289 19.294798 42.358057 84.655690 163.945317
2025-10-19 0.866281 2.915765 7.962270 19.815683 44.705338 91.309349 180.207096
2025-10-26 0.755052 2.706234 7.727108 19.924737 46.233253 96.553179 194.260043
2025-11-02 0.633736 2.433343 7.290607 19.524823 46.674085 99.779237 204.831869
2025-11-09 0.526996 2.172425 6.834910 19.013646 46.818093 102.425281 214.461722
2025-11-16 0.434692 1.928148 6.375022 18.424010 46.722342 104.574427 223.255275
2025-11-23 0.349121 1.676340 5.842941 17.577287 45.963869 105.333063 229.411133
2025-11-30 0.315055 1.603279 5.805433 17.972149 48.029611 111.911868 247.176027
2025-12-07 0.282522 1.525460 5.739691 18.283888 49.927116 118.255466 264.802774